摩根大通预计2028年稳定币市场规模将达5000亿美元，远低于乐观预测

By: odaily.com|2025/07/03 12:01:31

Odaily星球日报讯摩根大通发布研究报告预测，全球稳定币市场规模将在 2028 年增长至 5000 亿美元，远低于部分机构预测的 1 万亿-2 万亿美元。该行指出，当前 88%的稳定币需求来自加密原生活动（如交易、DeFi 抵押），仅 6%用于支付场景。报告显示，稳定币难以大规模替代银行存款或货币基金，主因缺乏收益且法币-加密转换存在摩擦。分析师驳斥了将稳定币与中国数字人民币或移动支付相提并论的观点，强调二者在中心化模式上的本质差异。值得注意的是，标准 Chartered 银行 4 月曾预测，若美国《GENIUS 法案》通过，2028 年稳定币供应量或激增至 2 万亿美元。摩根大通则认为，稳定币更可能维持以加密需求为主导的温和增长路径，而非实现广泛支付应用。（CoinDesk）

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